This has become too grueling, so I'm changing it from Top 25 to Top 15. At this point, who really cares about teams 16 through 25 anyway? Am I right? Yes. Anyway, here it is.
i have still not fully comprehended this one. how do you lose a game when you're favored by 41 points? i'm not really sure. i don't even know if pete carroll himself knows the answer. (that is, by the way, the biggest upset ever in the history of sports, in terms of point spread. incredibly, the second-biggest happened just a month ago when syracuse beat louisville. and if you're wondering, the appalachian state vs. michigan game officially had no point spread.) i'm a little disappointed that USC fell only to 10th in the AP poll. yes, i get the whole "they would beat Team X in a head-to-head matchup, so let's rank them ahead of them" argument. but when you get beaten by a conference bottom-feeder, on your home turf no less, you deserve punishment. and quite honestly, if you lose to Stanford, i don't know that you can at all say with any certainty who you could and couldn't beat. in terms of talent, they could probably beat anyone. but the poll is not just about talent, it's about execution as well. and frankly, the trojans have just seemed unmotivated and flat out-coached at times. my own personal theory, not that i have any insider knowledge of any kind, is that pete carroll has already half-way mentally checked out on this season, and it's showing on the field. i think he's become bored at the lack of challenge he faces now in the college ranks, and he longs to once again scratch the NFL itch. it also helps that there's more money in the pro game. if he returns to USC in 2008 i'll be really surprised.
here are my latest rankings. even before i knew the AP voters would move LSU to #1, i had already decided to do that myself. but as it's been all year long, the gap between those 2 teams is very small.
record
prev
1
LSU
5-0
2
2
USC
4-0
1
3
California
5-0
9
4
S. Florida
4-0
17
5
Ohio St
5-0
7
6
Oregon
4-1
10
7
Florida
4-1
3
8
Kentucky
5-0
11
9
Oklahoma
4-1
4
10
S. Carolina
4-1
14
11
W. Virginia
4-1
5
12
Cincinnati
5-0
16
13
Wisconsin
5-0
15
14
Texas
4-1
6
15
Boston Coll.
5-0
12
16
Nebrask
4-1
18
17
Missouri
4-0
19
18
Georgia
4-1
20
19
Clemson
4-1
13
20
Arizona St
5-0
24
21
Hawaii
5-0
22
22
Virginia Tech
4-1
21
23
Rutgers
3-1
8
24
Kansas St
3-1
--
25
Colorado
3-2
--
dropped out: penn state (23), alabama (25)
-- wisconsin's porous defense versus the likes of The Citadel and other less-than-average opponents leaves me doubting. they're going to have to beat an actually good team before i move them much higher than 10.
-- i predict lsu will beat florida this weekend, and perhaps by as much as 20, this would not surprise me. when brandon cox of all people is marching down the field at will against you, that's not a good sign for your pass defense.
hopefully i have thus far proven that i am willing and able to shuffle teams around based on how strong or weak i perceive them to be. and i'm happily surprised with how the AP pollsters have done this year. i really think that app state upset caused them all to rethink things and take their jobs more seriously, as in, actually think about itcritically every week... anyway here are my rankings this week, followed by some observations:
- i've said it already a few times before, but kentucky's andre woodson is the real thing. happy ninja is right that he's the most pro-ready QB right now, even more so than the ones getting all the publicity such as brohm. another good less-than-heralded one to watch for is bc's matt ryan.
- oklahoma is really good but i don't see why the AP voters gave them the nod at #3 over florida this week. they still haven't played a tough game and this saturday at colorado doesn't count as a challenge either. if they beat down a tough rival by 39 like florida did a week ago then maybe i'll see it. and yes, the gators did beat ole sis by only 6 points on saturday but realize that was their first road game and about 70% of their team is freshman and sophomores. this fact is good news for the next 2 to 3 years but bad news for 2 weeks from now when they head to death valley.
- i'm a little uncertain why the media sort of automatically stops notre dame's projected losing streak at 0-8, before the navy game. i realize navy hasn't beaten them in like 900,000,000,000,000,000,000 years but the irish are just unspeakably bad this year. i honestly believe any top 10 1-AA school could beat them right now on their home field. however, for the record, i don't think they'll even get to 0-8, and certainly not 0-12 (not with duke on that schedule). i actually think they've got a fairly good shot at beating purdue, who they've owned historically, and match up well against, this saturday. but they may not beat navy, who undoubtedly knows this is their best chance for the next few years.
- after the braves beat the brewers 7-4 last sunday, the score was announced at wrigley field, and then cubs fans did this:
whether you're a braves fan or not, that's just cool.
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